exp: 轮次49——#31 门控地平线成立:终端段 20 mm 时时限收益与精度代价解耦

预注册判据(err_success_med 回到 ~0.22mm 且 time_ok>=0.31)由 20mm 臂满足:
0.2248 mm / 0.3281;到达题组内末态误差符号检验 67差/57好 p=0.42 ⇒ 与控制不可分
(pre h=2 是 82/42 p=4.2e-4,门控5mm 是 79/45 p=0.0029 仍显著变差)。
5→20mm 的分级响应是机理证据:病名是"终端代价的作用区间不够长",不是"缺终端代价"。

不许只报好的那半:不存在同时占优的阈值——20mm 把 A 类到达打到 94/128(控制与5mm 都是 96),
5mm 到达最高 0.5469 且行程比最好 2.4218 但精度仍显著变差。到达率在整条轴上都没跨过显著
(净 +3/+6/+5 题,McNemar p=0.68/0.33/0.42),所以主口径仍写控制值。

四列 collision_rate/over_vmax_rate 全 0、n_plans_mean 全 195.0 ⇒ 没有放松判据、规划次数不变。
下一步 seed=1 复现(控制臂复用 round47_ep_s1),判读规则已预注册。
This commit is contained in:
cbb
2026-10-21 01:24:21 +08:00
parent 801724bda2
commit 97f746077a
3 changed files with 244 additions and 0 deletions
+110
View File
@@ -0,0 +1,110 @@
{
"config": {
"ckpt": "ml/runs/base_dag2_dag1/best.pt",
"samples": "ml/data/samples",
"tasks": null,
"split": "val",
"n": 256,
"K": 8,
"commit": 2,
"fb": 2.2,
"ki": 0.0,
"fb_scale": 0.0,
"fb_near": 0.2,
"fb_fallback": 0.0,
"kdecay": 0.9,
"kimax": 0.5,
"fb_every": 1,
"safety_try": 0,
"sel_w": 0.1,
"dls_safety": 1,
"fb_clear": 0.0,
"fb_cmin": 0.3,
"sub_refresh": 0,
"fb_block_gain": 0.5,
"dump": "ml/runs/round49_gate20_rows.json",
"out": "docs/experiment_round49_gate20.json",
"trace": null,
"select": "pre",
"replan": "empty",
"safety": 1,
"partial": 1,
"inc_cap": 1,
"gap_margin": 0.0,
"cert_batch": 1,
"steps": 1,
"z_scale": 1.0,
"len_w": 0.0,
"tie": 0,
"pre_h": 0,
"pre_near": 20.0,
"backoff": 0,
"max_sec": null,
"seed": 0,
"dls": "analytic",
"device": "cuda"
},
"batch_size": 256,
"batch_seed_rule": "same seed per batch",
"checkpoint_sha256": "f7f686fd8ee92fb6948fbcc4ee954636065ad87bb54f661c4f8f575bc16c2ce1",
"tasks_sha256": "249bd93457825cda98c59e64d9a096d3473c69aeb3553de1dea6d9e56be71772",
"kin_fp": "2ebcbf17",
"act_scale": 1.0,
"metrics": {
"n": 256,
"n_ref": 256,
"success": 0.53515625,
"collision_free_success": 0.53515625,
"time_ok_1p3": 0.328125,
"collision_rate": 0.0,
"collision_steps_mean": 0.0,
"travel_ratio_median": 2.5145769119262695,
"time_mean_s": 2.3382482528686523,
"brakes_mean": 19.63671875,
"start_fail": 0.0,
"goal_ratio_2s": 0.17014972865581512,
"err_fail_med": 182.09060668945312,
"err_success_med": 0.2248138189315796,
"dls_share": 0.63671875,
"time_budget": "teacher×2(≥3 s)",
"speed_ratio_p50": 1.0000016689300537,
"speed_ratio_p95": 1.0000101327896118,
"speed_ratio_max": 1.0000101327896118,
"over_vmax_rate": 0.0,
"accel_ratio_p95": 1.0000016689300537,
"accel_ratio_max": 1.0000101327896118,
"reverse_p50": 0.24203822016716003,
"reverse_mean": 0.24321714043617249,
"reverse_moving_p50": 0.2936508059501648,
"moving_share_p50": 0.9595959782600403,
"brake_rate_mean": 0.10070113092660904,
"brake_rate_p50": 0.0051282052882015705,
"brake_rate_p90": 0.35384616255760193,
"stuck_share": 0.2421875,
"n_plans_mean": 195.0,
"success_reachable": 0.5637860298156738,
"by_cat": {
"A": [
128,
94
],
"B": [
74,
21
],
"C": [
32,
14
],
"D": [
13,
0
],
"Dr": [
9,
8
]
}
},
"simulation_wall_s": 285.5599780000048
}