docs+exp: 第二次纠正换向分组——按与rollout同窗口重算后两组差不多(0.247全体/到达0.265/未到达0.233)，换向是全局现象而非失败特征；给出backoff对照臂的可证伪预测0.247

2026-10-20 22:33:29 +08:00
parent a34a3c0bb5
commit a159723e5b
2 changed files with 28 additions and 2 deletions
@@ -0,0 +1,16 @@
+[
+ {
+  "file": "round33_cap.pt",
+  "reverse_p50": 0.2474,
+  "reverse_p50_arrived": 0.265,
+  "reverse_p50_failed": 0.2329,
+  "nact_p50": 168.0
+ },
+ {
+  "file": "round33_base.pt",
+  "reverse_p50": 0.257,
+  "reverse_p50_arrived": 0.2753,
+  "reverse_p50_failed": 0.2402,
+  "nact_p50": 152.0
+ }
+]